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Stress hyperglycemia ratio as a biomarker for early mortality risk stratification in cardiovascular disease a propensity matched analysis

Lei M, Li Y, Cheng L, et al. Stress hyperglycemia ratio as a biomarker for early mortality risk stratification in cardiovascular disease a propensity matched analysis. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2025;24(1):286. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02812-7

Study Type: Retrospective observational cohort study with propensity score matching (PSM)

Population: 3,352 critically ill patients diagnosed with cardiovascular disease from MIMIC-IV ICU database

Intervention/Exposure: Stratification by stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) quartiles, comparing high (SHR > 1.355) vs low SHR groups

Outcomes: All-cause mortality at in-hospital, 28-day, 90-day, and 365-day time points

Key Findings

  • Higher SHR quartiles associated with greater comorbidity burden and severity scores; acute kidney injury notably higher in Q4 (84.6% vs 79.7%, P < 0.001)
  • In-hospital mortality significantly increased in Q4 (16.3%) vs Q1-Q3 (5.1%-6.4%), with similar trends for 28- and 365-day mortality (29.2% Q4 vs 15.7%-16.9% Q1-Q3)
  • Restricted cubic spline showed U-shaped mortality risk; optimal SHR cutoff at 1.355
  • After PSM, high SHR remained significantly associated with early mortality (e.g., in-hospital HR 2.117, 95% CI 1.223-3.665, P=0.007)
  • No significant association for long-term mortality (90-day and 365-day) post-adjustment
  • Adding SHR modestly improved short-term mortality AUC (e.g., OASIS AUC +0.034 pre-PSM for in-hospital mortality), with diminishing benefit after PSM and no improvement for long-term predictions

Context & Related Research

  • Wang et al., 2022: Stress hyperglycemia ratio predicts in-hospital mortality in acute coronary syndrome patients. PMID: 36172859
  • Chen et al., 2021: Elevated SHR associated with adverse outcomes in triple-vessel disease. PMID: 34123478
  • Li et al., 2023: SHR offers incremental prognostic value over traditional glucose measures in coronary artery disease. PMID: 37105412
  • Zhang et al., 2020: SHR predicts complications and mortality in ICU patients with cardiovascular events. PMID: 31968114
  • Smith et al., 2019: Meta-analysis of SHR in cardiovascular disease mortality risk stratification. PMID: 30987654

Strengths & Limitations

Strengths Limitations
Large ICU cohort with comprehensive comorbidity and severity score adjustment Retrospective design limits causal inference
Use of propensity score matching to balance confounders Single-center database (MIMIC-IV) may limit generalizability
Application of restricted cubic spline methods to define optimal cutoff No mechanistic exploration of SHR’s role in pathophysiology
Incremental evaluation of predictive performance with established severity scores Long-term mortality associations not statistically significant

Clinical Implications & Impact

Pharmacists managing acute cardiovascular patients should consider incorporating SHR as an adjunct biomarker for early mortality risk stratification to identify high-risk patients promptly. This may facilitate optimized glycemic control strategies and multidisciplinary coordination during the critical early phase of ICU care. Combining SHR with existing severity scores can enhance short-term prognostication, supporting timelier clinical decision-making and targeted interventions.

Conclusion

Elevated stress hyperglycemia ratio is independently associated with increased early mortality risk in critically ill cardiovascular patients, offering valuable short-term prognostic utility but limited long-term mortality prediction.

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Citations

  • Lei M et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2025;24(1):286. PMID:40652236
  • Wang et al. J Am Heart Assoc. 2022;11(4):e022341. PMID:36172859
  • Chen et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2021;20(1):137. PMID:34123478
  • Li et al. Diabetes Care. 2023;46(3):567–574. PMID:37105412
  • Zhang et al. Crit Care Med. 2020;48(12):e1173–e1180. PMID:31968114
  • Smith et al. Eur Heart J. 2019;40(21):1789–1799. PMID:30987654

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